Research

Publications

Dugdale CM, Ufio O, Giardina J, Shebl F, Coskun E, Pletner E, Torola PR, Cosar D, Shapiro R, Kim M, Mofenson L, Ciaranello AL. Estimating the effect of maternal viral load on perinatal and postnatal HIV transmission: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The Lancet. 2025;406(10501):349-357. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(25)00765-2

Chen W, Li S, Mita C, Rutstein SE, Pettifor A, Giardina J, Freedberg K, Powers KA, Ciaranello A, Neilan AM. Cost-Effectiveness Analyses of Adolescent- and Young-Adult-Focused HIV Interventions Incorporating HIV Transmission: a Scoping Review of Modeling Methods and Proposed Guidance. PharmacoEconomics Open. 2025;9:739-755. doi:10.1007/s41669-025-00583-1

Dong S, Jutkowitz E, Giardina J, Bilinski A. Screening Strategies to Reduce COVID-19 Mortality in Nursing Homes. JAMA Health Forum. 2024;5(4):e240688. doi:10.1001/jamahealthforum.2024.0688

Glynn D, Giardina J, Hatamyar J, Pandya A, Soares M, Kreif N. Integrating decision modeling and machine learning to inform treatment stratification. Health Economics. 2024;33(8):1772-1792. doi:10.1002/hec.4834

Bilinski A, Ciaranello A, Fitzpatrick MC, Giardina J, Shah M, Salomon JA, Kendall EA. Estimated Transmission Outcomes and Costs of SARS-CoV-2 Diagnostic Testing, Screening, and Surveillance Strategies Among a Simulated Population of Primary School Students. JAMA Pediatrics. 2022;176(7):679-689. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.1326

Giardina J, Bilinski A, Fitzpatrick MC, Kendall EA, Linas BP, Salomon J, Ciaranello AL. Model-estimated association between simulated US elementary school-replated SARS-CoV2 transmission, mitigation intervention, and vaccine coverage across local incidence levels. JAMA Network Open. 2022;5(2): e2147827. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.47827

Valentine KD, Cha T, Giardina J, Marques F, Atlas SJ, Bedair H, Chen AF, Doorly T, Kang J, Leavitt L, Licurse A, O’Brien T, Sequist T, Sepucha K. Assessing the quality of shared decision making for elective orthopedic surgery across a large healthcare system: cross-sectional survey study. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders. 2021;22(1):1-10. doi:10.1186/s12891-021-04853-x

Aladelokun O, Hanley M, Mu J, Giardina J, Rosenberg DW, Giardina C. Fatty acid metabolism and colon cancer protection by dietary methyl donor restriction. Metabolomics. 2021;17(9):1-11. doi:10.1007/s11306-021-01831-1

Bilinski A, Salomon JA, Giardina J, Ciaranello A, Fitzpatrick MC. Passing the test: a model-based analysis of safe school-reopening strategies. Annals of Internal Medicine. 2021;174(8):1090-1100. doi:10.7326/M21-0600

Giardina J, Cha T, Atlas SJ, Barry MJ, Freiberg AA, Leavitt L, Marques F, Sepucha K. Validation of an electronic coding algorithm to identify the primary indication of orthopedic surgeries from administrative data. BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making. 2020;20(1):1-10. doi:10.1186/s12911-020-01175-1

Working Papers

*Co-senior authors

Shah SJ, Dinger T, Blacker D, Greenberg SM, Giardina J, Lykken JM, Kalidindi S, Qoshe L, Newhouse JP, Pandya A, Hsu J, Hyle EP. Lecanemab and Anticoagulants: Projected Effects on Health and Quality of Life. medRxiv 2025.04.03.25325187 (2025). doi:10.1101/2025.04.03.25325187

Giardina J, Haneuse S, Pandya A. Using Joint Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Models to Improve the Parameterization of Chronic Disease Microsimulation Models: an Application to Cardiovascular Disease. medRxiv 2024.10.27.24316240 (2024). doi:10.1101/2024.10.27.24316240

Wu AS, Coskun E, Prabhu M, Santos EM, Kakkar F, Flanagan CF, Dugdale CM, Pesch M, *Giardina J, *Ciaranello AL. Development, Testing, and Calibration of LINCS: A New Microsimulation Model of Maternal and Fetal Cytomegalovirus Infection. medRxiv 2024.09.30.24314653 (2024). doi:10.1101/2024.09.30.24314653

Zhu J, Jhang J, Yu H, Mushlin AI, Kamel H, Alemayehu N, Giardina J, Gupta A, Pandya A. Cost-Effectiveness of Screening Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis by Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Risk. medRxiv 2023.11.28.23299146 (2023). doi:10.1101/2023.11.28.23299146

COVID-19 Statistics, Policy modeling and Epidemiology Collective (C-SPEC). Defining high-value information for COVID-19 decision-making. medRxiv 2020.04.06.20052506 (2020). doi:10.1101/2020.04.06.20052506